Arian Foster, he of past fantasy football dominance, could return this week. I can’t speak for Texans coach Bill O’Brien, but it’s certainly possible with how he’s been progressing in practice. We’ll get back to Foster later on, though.
The stark juxtaposition between Weeks 2 and 3 of the fantasy season loaded me with mailbag questions for this week because of how damn confused some people are — which is totally normal.
I tried to extrapolate the best ones to answer – or the ones that will provide the most insight for the season moving forward – but you can always send any of your matchup and start/sit questions personally and I’ll get them answered for you. Just not in here.
Let’s get this damn thing moving, September is almost over.
“Is it time to start targeting players coming back from injury/suspension?”
By this I’m assuming we mean Foster, Martavis Bryant and company, right? If so, the answer is a resounding yes.
Here’s a snapshot at how the running back landscape currently looks:
That’s the top 15 running backs in standard scoring right now. Notice you don’t see Eddie Lacy, C.J. Anderson or Jeremy Hill. Le’Veon Bell will be in there soon.
But for real, Devonta Freeman is the current RB2, Dion Lewis is RB6, and DeAngelo Williams/Chris Johnson are both in the top 10 like it’s fucking 2009 again.
Go and buy Arian Foster. If Foster is healthy, and I believe he’ll run like he is when he returns, he’ll supplant these guys rather quickly. There’s a chance he’s sitting on a less patient person’s bench and you can get him for a receiver or running back coming off a big game.
Bryant is in a similar situation, but he doesn’t have to worry about his health as much as the health of his starting quarterback. Michael Vick and Bryant should mesh well (think Vick arm plus Bryant go route), so don’t fret over Martavis being without Big Ben for a few weeks. He’s going to be a stud over-the-top no matter who’s throwing him the ball.
“If I’m streaming a QB from week-to-week because I drafted Tony Romo or Jay Cutler, who are a few names that should be on my radar in Week 4?”
I’ll just leave this here:
I hate saying this, but it feels like one of those weeks Kirk Cousins makes us forget how truly bad he is and throws for 330 and 3 TDs.
— Bill Blenichick (@brian_lendino) September 30, 2015
Cousins started Week 3 against the Eagles last season while Robert Griffin III was on the shelf and, well, he killed the game with a stat line of 30/48, 427 yards, and three touchdowns.
Now, he’s not doing that again. I’m just saying, with how bad the Eagles secondary is, big numbers could be on the horizon. Sure, streaming quarterbacks is never the ideal situation but you can take a shot with Kirk Cousins in Week 4 and probably be OK.
A couple other names I like: Tyrod Taylor vs. the Giants, Derek Carr vs. the Bears, and if you’re real cute – Colin Kaepernick vs. the Packers. Kaepernick’s been up and down through three weeks (per usual), but has good career numbers against Green Bay and gets a home game.
“Has Ted Ginn finally reached consistent fantasy status in his career?!”
He has a plus matchup this week vs. Tampa Bay (giving up 24.4 points per game to opposing wide receivers), I will say that. Ginn saw his lowest target tally of the season in Week 3 (6) and isn’t going to get many looks in the red zone.
But make no mistake, his fantasy value is contingent on whether Jerricho Cotchery plays and that’s basically everything you need to know about the situation.
I can’t sign off on Ted Ginn, Jr. as anything more than a super-home-run GPP play in daily fantasy.
“Should we panic about Lamar Miller yet?”
Yes. Which sucks because it’s not Miller’s fault at all. Granted, his 3.5 yards per carry is bad and he hasn’t found the end zone, but his coaching staff isn’t helping at all.
It’s hard to get into any sort of groove as a runner if you’re being pulled off the field for over 35 percent of your team’s offensive snaps. Not to mention, Ryan Tannehill can’t take care of the football.
The entire Dolphins offense is a mess right now and it’s definitely time to sound the panic alarm. But I wouldn’t fire sale it just yet, things should start to progress towards the mean. Don’t be afraid to bench Miller if you’ve got a better option.
“Where will Karlos Williams end up among rookie RB’s (in fantasy points)?”
This is hard to gauge because his volume as a runner is dependent on LeSean McCoy’s health. Williams has a been a productive runner even with McCoy in the lineup (a touchdown every week), but he only received six and eight touches respectively in Weeks 1 and 2.
It’s extremely rare for a player to sustain the insane 7.8 yards per carry clip that Williams is currently at. With all that said, he has a great chance to finish as the top rookie running back in fantasy at the end of the year.
Let’s run through the relevant ones as of right now, which would be: Tevin Coleman, T.J. Yeldon, Todd Gurley, David Johnson, Melvin Gordon, Matt Jones and Williams.
You can automatically eliminate Gurley; he likely won’t play enough snaps between the knee and Tre Mason having a big contribution. Johnson is a home run play only at this point, although he’s wildly intriguing.
Coleman has been supplanted by Devonta Freeman and Matt Jones is in a true RBBC with Alfred Morris. You know my feelings on Melvin Gordon.
Yeldon is currently the only true starting rookie running back in the NFL, and he has produced 32 less yards on 24 more carries than Karlos Williams. That is not good.
I put a waiver claim in for Williams in every single league of mine and if you were able to snag him you won’t be disappointed.
“Is Derek Carr becoming a legit fantasy QB?”
It’s hard to argue against that right now, especially after Carr has thrown for 665 yards and five touchdowns these past two weeks. There are going to be hiccups for any second-year quarterback whose No. 1 receiver is a rookie, but Carr is only going to get better with each week. Is he there yet? No.
Is he becoming one? Absolutely.